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Quantifying Uncertainties in Climate Science.

Date: Wednesday 12 December 2012

Time: 14:00 - 17:45


Blackett Laboratory, Lecture Theatre 1, Imperial College, South Kensington Campus, London, SW7 2BW


This National Meeting is held jointly with the Royal Statistical Society.


Climate models produce different projections of future climate change under identical pathways of future greenhouse gases. This meeting will highlight recent studies that have attempted to quantify those uncertainties using different approaches.

The meeting will be followed by mulled wine, mince pies and Christmas Carols.


Please note that the quality of the audio recordings for this meeting is not up to the normal standard, due to a recording problem that Imperial had.


Time No. Presenting author Title
14:00 Dr Mat Collins - Exeter University Introduction
14:10 Dr Jonty Rougier, University of Bristol Background and philosophy
14:30 Dr David Sexton, UK Met Office UK climate projections.
15:00 Dr Tamsin Edwards, University of Bristol Palaeo-constraints on climate sensitivity.
16:00 Dr Lindsay Lee, University of Leeds Constraining aerosol models.
16:30 Prof Reto Knutti, (ETH Zürich) Projection uncertainties: The multi model perspective.
17:00 Dr Paul Williams, University of Reading. Climate models: The importance of being stochastic.