Weather forecasting – how good have we got?

Date: Tuesday 20 March 2018

Time: 18:00 - 19:30

Location: 

University of Edinburgh
Drummond Street
Edinburgh
Midlothian
EH8 9XP
United Kingdom

Email: 

scotland@rmets.org

SPEAKER | Geoff Monk, Mountain Weather Information Service.

ABSTRACT | Weather forecasts are available from many sources through a variety of media; on some portals up to 16 days ahead. Yet how skilful are the forecasts – even a few days ahead, where for example, in Britain local topography can result in very different conditions over just a few miles? Recent weather sequences will be used to illustrate model predictability on large (synoptic) and smaller (meso) scales at a range of lead times. The importance of presenting forecast information in formats most helpful to the user will be touched on.

BIOGRAPHY | After 25 years in the Met Office, split between forecasting and research into forecasting techniques, primarily using imagery, I have run a private weather forecasting company, based in SW Scotland, providing forecasts for Britain and Ireland. I founded the Mountain Weather Information Service, which aims to present anticipated mountain weather conditions in a manner that can be understood by all those using the mountains, focusing on the impact of those on the mountains.

This meeting is part of the Royal Meteorological Society Meetings programme, open to all, from expert to enthusiast, for topical discussions on the latest advances in weather and climate. Free to attend. Non members are welcome.


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