Mason Gold Medal Lecture: Forecasting Summer Thunderstorms
LOCATION
Woodhouse
Leeds
LS2 9JT
Rapid onset flooding from summer thunderstorms is a growing threat that will undoubtedly result in multiple fatalities at some point in the future, as has happened in other countries. The challenge of effective warnings requires attention both to the needs of those at risk and to our forecasting capabilities. In this talk Brian will survey the challenges in forecasting intense convection in the UK and will make the case for increased effort across multiple aspects of the problem. Brian will first review aspects of our understanding of convective clouds and then look at our ability to monitor convection using both in situ and remote observations. Then Brian will explore the capabilities of NWP and data driven forecasting approaches. Brian will conclude that numerical weather prediction is unlikely to meet user needs in the near future and that the way forward should be through a human-centred decision-support system incorporating a variety of advanced prediction tools, underpinned by advances in understanding.
Speaker
Professor Brian Golding
Brian Golding is Met Office Senior Fellow in Weather Impacts, visiting professor at Bristol University and, until recently, co-chair of the WMO High Impact Weather project. In a 52-year career at the Met Office, Brian’s research has spanned numerical modelling, nowcasting, flood and ocean wave prediction and weather impacts in a wide variety of sectors. He was instrumental in the automation of the forecasting process and from 2005-2012 was Deputy Director of Weather Science. Following retirement from this role, he was awarded the OBE for services to weather forecasting. He currently works on designing next generation weather warnings which optimise the whole warnings value chain, from observation and forecast to warning and response. He has an extensive publication record and has received several awards, including the Brodetsky Prize from the University of Leeds and the Mason Gold Medal from the Royal Meteorological Society. He is currently the president of the Royal Meteorological Society.
Registration
REGISTRATION IS NOW OPEN.
Registration for this event is available In person only.
Members
If you are a member of the Society and have an account already, please log in to your account before your register. If you are a member and don’t have an account set up already, you will need to create an account. Your username is the email address that is linked to your membership.
Non-Members
If you are not a member of the Society you will need to create an account in order to register for events.
Once you have created an account, you will be required to log in each time you would like to register for an event. You will also have access to a Dashboard area that will show which events you have registered for and past events you have attended.
Any information you provide to us will only be used by The Royal Meteorological Society and appointed representatives.
This meeting is part of the Royal Meteorological Society Meetings programme, open to all, from expert to enthusiast, for topical discussions on the latest advances in weather and climate. Free to attend. Non-members are welcome.
A copy of our terms and conditions can be found here.
If you have any queries with regards to this event or require any further information please contact us at meetings@rmets.org.
The RMetS strives to host inclusive, accessible events that enable all individuals, including individuals with disabilities, to engage fully. If you would like to discuss accessibility or request accommodations please contact conferences@rmets.org.
We take data privacy seriously. Please read the RMetS privacy policy to find out more.
The Royal Meteorological Society has a number of local centres across the UK, where meetings are held throughout the year. The Yorkshire Local Centre are currently hosting monthly meetings which can be attended in person. For further information on the local centre, upcoming events or to be added to the mailing list, please contact yorkshire@rmets.org.
Rapid onset flooding from summer thunderstorms is a growing threat that will undoubtedly result in multiple fatalities at some point in the future, as has happened in other countries. The challenge of effective warnings requires attention both to the needs of those at risk and to our forecasting capabilities. In this talk Brian will survey the challenges in forecasting intense convection in the UK and will make the case for increased effort across multiple aspects of the problem. Brian will first review aspects of our understanding of convective clouds and then look at our ability to monitor convection using both in situ and remote observations. Then Brian will explore the capabilities of NWP and data driven forecasting approaches. Brian will conclude that numerical weather prediction is unlikely to meet user needs in the near future and that the way forward should be through a human-centred decision-support system incorporating a variety of advanced prediction tools, underpinned by advances in understanding.
Speaker
Professor Brian Golding
Brian Golding is Met Office Senior Fellow in Weather Impacts, visiting professor at Bristol University and, until recently, co-chair of the WMO High Impact Weather project. In a 52-year career at the Met Office, Brian’s research has spanned numerical modelling, nowcasting, flood and ocean wave prediction and weather impacts in a wide variety of sectors. He was instrumental in the automation of the forecasting process and from 2005-2012 was Deputy Director of Weather Science. Following retirement from this role, he was awarded the OBE for services to weather forecasting. He currently works on designing next generation weather warnings which optimise the whole warnings value chain, from observation and forecast to warning and response. He has an extensive publication record and has received several awards, including the Brodetsky Prize from the University of Leeds and the Mason Gold Medal from the Royal Meteorological Society. He is currently the president of the Royal Meteorological Society.
Registration
REGISTRATION IS NOW OPEN.
Registration for this event is available In person only.
Members
If you are a member of the Society and have an account already, please log in to your account before your register. If you are a member and don’t have an account set up already, you will need to create an account. Your username is the email address that is linked to your membership.
Non-Members
If you are not a member of the Society you will need to create an account in order to register for events.
Once you have created an account, you will be required to log in each time you would like to register for an event. You will also have access to a Dashboard area that will show which events you have registered for and past events you have attended.
Any information you provide to us will only be used by The Royal Meteorological Society and appointed representatives.
This meeting is part of the Royal Meteorological Society Meetings programme, open to all, from expert to enthusiast, for topical discussions on the latest advances in weather and climate. Free to attend. Non-members are welcome.
A copy of our terms and conditions can be found here.
If you have any queries with regards to this event or require any further information please contact us at meetings@rmets.org.
The RMetS strives to host inclusive, accessible events that enable all individuals, including individuals with disabilities, to engage fully. If you would like to discuss accessibility or request accommodations please contact conferences@rmets.org.
We take data privacy seriously. Please read the RMetS privacy policy to find out more.
The Royal Meteorological Society has a number of local centres across the UK, where meetings are held throughout the year. The Yorkshire Local Centre are currently hosting monthly meetings which can be attended in person. For further information on the local centre, upcoming events or to be added to the mailing list, please contact yorkshire@rmets.org.
